Skip to main content
McMaster University Menu Search

Personal tools

You are here: Home / Publications

Publications

Show by author:

  1. 2024
  2. 2023
  3. 2022
  4. 2021
  5. 2020
  6. 2019
  7. 2018
  8. 2017
  9. 2016
  10. 2015
  11. 2014
  12. 2013
  13. 2012
  14. 2011
  15. 2010
  16. 2009
  17. 2008
  18. 2007
  19. 2006
  20. 2005
  21. 2004
  22. 2003
  23. 2002
  24. 2000
  25. 1999
  26. 1998
  27. 1997
  28. 1996
  29. 1995
  30. 1994
  31. 1992
  32. 1991

2024

Molina, C and Earn, DJD (2024)
Effects of group size and population size on the evolutionary stability of cooperation
Proceedings of the Royal Society of London, Series A, 480:20230305.  Full Text (PDF)
Earn, DJD, Park, SW, and Bolker, BM (2024)
Ogden, NH, Acheson, ES, Brown, K, Champredon, D, Colijn, C, Diener, A, Dushoff, J, Earn, DJD, Gabriele-Rivet, V, Gangbè, M, Guillouzic, S, Hennesy, D, Hongoh, V, Hurford, A, Kanary, L, Li, M, Ng, V, Otto, SP, Papst, I, Rees, EE, Tuite, A, MacLeod, MR, Murall, CL, Waddell, L, Wasfi, R, and Wolfson, M (2024)
Parsons, TL, Bolker, BM, Dushoff, J, and Earn, DJD (2024)
The probability of epidemic burnout in the stochastic SIR model with vital dynamics
PNAS – Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences of the U.S.A., 121(5):e2313708120.  Full Text (PDF)
Parsons, TL and Earn, DJD (2024)

2023

Lewis, MA, Brown, P, Colijn, C, Cowen, L, Cotton, C, Day, T, Deardon, R, Earn, DJD, Haskell, D, Heffernan, J, Leighton, P, Murty, K, Otto, S, Rafferty, E, Tuohy Hughes, C, Wu, J, and Zhu, H (2023)
Charting a future for emerging infectious disease modelling in Canada
White Paper available at http://hdl.handle.net/1828/15042.  Full Text (PDF)
Li, M, Dushoff, J, Earn, DJD, and Bolker, BM (2023)
Young, JAM, Balshine, S, and Earn, DJD (2023)
Modelling the Impacts of Male Alternative Reproductive Tactics on Population Dynamics
Journal of the Royal Society of London, Interface, 20:20230359.  Full Text (PDF)
Shaver, N, Katz, M, Asamoah, GD, Linkins, L, Abdelkader, W, Beck, A, Bennett, A, Hughes, SE, Smith, M, Begin, M, Coyle, D, Piggott, T, Kagina, BM, Welch, V, Colijn, C, Earn, DJD, Emam, KE, Heffernan, J, O'Brien, SF, Wilson, K, Collins, E, Navarro, T, Beyene, J, Boutron, I, Bowdish, D, Cooper, C, Costa, A, Curran, J, Griffith, L, Hsu, A, Grimshaw, J, Langlois, M, Li, X, Pham-Huy, A, Raina, P, Rubini, M, Thabane, L, Wang, H, Xu, L, Brouwers, M, Horsley, T, Lavis, J, Iorio, A, and Little, J (2023)

2022

Levine, Z and Earn, DJD (2022)
Face Masking and COVID-19: Potential effects of variolation on transmission dynamics
Journal of the Royal Society of London, Interface, 19:20210781.  Full Text (PDF)
Shi, C, So, MC, Stelmach, S, Earn, A, Earn, DJD, and Dushoff, J (2022)
Rubin, J, Earn, DJD, Greenwood, P, Parsons, T, and Abbott, K (2022)
Gharouni, A, Abdelmalek, FM, Earn, DJD, Dushoff, J, and Bolker, BM (2022)
Colijn, C, Earn, DJD, Dushoff, J, Ogden, N, Li, M, Knox, N, Van Domselaar, G, Franklin, K, Jolly, G, and Otto, SP (2022)
The need for linked genomic surveillance of SARS-CoV-2
Canada Communicable Disease Report, 48(4):131-139.  Full Text (PDF)

2021

Loeb, M, Russell, ML, Kelly-Stradiotto, C, Fuller, N, Fonseca, K, Earn, DJD, Chokani, K, Babiuk, L, Neupane, B, Singh, P, and Pullenayegum, E (2021)
Papst, I, Li, M, Champredon, D, Bolker, BM, Dushoff, J, and Earn, DJD (2021)
Park, SW, Sun, K, Champredon, D, Li, M, Bolker, BM, Earn, DJD, Weitz, JS, Grenfell, BT, and Dushoff, J (2021)
Forward-looking serial intervals correctly link epidemic growth to reproduction numbers
PNAS – Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences of the U.S.A., 118(2):e2011548118.  Full Text (PDF)
Rosati, DP, Woolhouse, MH, Bolker, BM, and Earn, DJD (2021)
Modelling song popularity as a contagious process
Proceedings of the Royal Society of London, Series A, 477:20210457.  Full Text (PDF)
Molina, C and Earn, DJD (2021)
Earn, DJD (2021)
Otto, SP, Day, T, Arino, J, Colijn, C, Dushoff, J, Li, M, Mechai, S, Domselaar, GV, Wu, J, Earn, DJD, and Ogden, NH (2021)
Tao, Y, Hite, J, Lafferty, K, Earn, DJD, and Bharti, N (2021)
Dushoff, J, Colijn, C, Earn, DJD, and Bolker, BM (2021)
Transmission dynamics are crucial to COVID-19 vaccination policy
PNAS – Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences of the U.S.A., 118(29):e2105878118.  Full Text (PDF)

2020

Earn, DJD, Ma, J, Poinar, H, Dushoff, J, and Bolker, BM (2020)
Acceleration of plague outbreaks in the second pandemic
PNAS – Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences of the U.S.A., 117(44):27703–27711.  Full Text (PDF)
Barton, CM, Alberti, M, Ames, D, Atkinson, J, Bales, J, Burke, E, Chen, M, Diallo, SY, Earn, DJD, Fath, B, Feng, Z, Gibbons, C, Hammond, R, Heffernan, J, Houser, H, Hovmand, PS, Kopainsky, B, Mabry, PL, Mair, C, Meier, P, Niles, R, Nosek, B, Osgood, N, Pierce, S, Polhill, JG, Prosser, L, Robinson, E, Rosenzweig, C, Sankaran, S, Stange, K, and Tucker, G (2020)
Hempel, K and Earn, DJD (2020)
Estimating epidemic coupling between populations from the time to invasion
Journal of the Royal Society of London, Interface, 17:20200523.  Full Text (PDF)
Jagan, M, deJonge, MS, Krylova, O, and Earn, DJD (2020)
Krylova, O and Earn, DJD (2020)
Park, SW, Bolker, BM, Champredon, D, Earn, DJD, Li, M, Weitz, JS, Grenfell, BT, and Dushoff, J (2020)

2019

Acosta, E, Hallman, SA, Ouellette, N, Dillon, L, Bourbeau, R, Herring, DA, Inwood, K, Earn, DJD, Madrenas, J, Miller, MS, and Gagnon, A (2019)
Papst, I and Earn, DJD (2019)
Li, M, Bolker, BM, Dushoff, J, Ma, J, and Earn, DJD (2019)

2018

Champredon, D, Dushoff, J, and Earn, DJD (2018)
Equivalence of the Erlang SEIR epidemic model and the renewal equation
SIAM Journal on Applied Mathematics, 78(6):3258-3278.  Full Text (PDF)
Earn, DJD (2018) In: Lorinc, J. (Eds.), Defining Moments Canada (https://definingmomentscanada.ca/) .  Full Text (PDF)
Park, SW, Dushoff, J, Earn, DJD, Poinar, H, and Bolker, BM (2018)
Human ectoparasite transmission of the plague during the Second Pandemic is only weakly supported by proposed mathematical models
PNAS – Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences of the U.S.A., 115(34):E7892–E7893.  Full Text (PDF)
Molina, C and Earn, DJD (2018)
On selection in finite populations
Journal of Mathematical Biology, 76(3):645-678.  Full Text (PDF)
Gagnon, A, Acosta, E, Hallman, S, Bourbeau, RR, Dillon, LY, Ouellette, N, Earn, DJD, Herring, DA, Inwood, K, Madrenas, J, and Miller, MS (2018)

2017

Molina, C and Earn, DJD (2017)
Wang, B, Russell, ML, Fonseca, K, Earn, DJD, Horsman, G, Van Caeseele, P, Chokani, K, Vooght, M, Babiuk, L, Walter, SD, and Loeb, M (2017)
Predictors of Influenza Molecular Viral Shedding in Hutterite Communities
Influenza and Other Respiratory Viruses, 11(3):254-262.  Full Text (PDF)

2016

Eftimie, R, Macnamara, CK, Dushoff, J, Bramson, JL, and Earn, DJD (2016)
Bifurcations and chaotic dynamics in a tumour-immune-virus system
Mathematical Modelling of Natural Phenomena, 11(5):65-85.  Full Text (PDF)
Wang, B, Russell, ML, Fonseca, K, Earn, DJD, Aoki, F, Horsman, G, Van Caeseele, P, Chokani, K, Vooght, M, Babiuk, L, Walter, SD, and Loeb, M (2016)
Loeb, M, Russell, ML, Manning, V, Fonseca, K, Earn, DJD, Horsman, GH, Chokani, K, Vooght, M, Babiuk, L, Schwartz, L, Neupane, B, Singh, P, Walter, SD, and Pullenayegum, E (2016)
Fitzpatrick, JL, Earn, DJD, Bucking, C, Craig, PM, Nadella, S, Wood, CM, and Balshine, S (2016)
He, D and Earn, DJD (2016)
The cohort effect in childhood disease dynamics
Journal of the Royal Society of London, Interface, 13:20160156.  Full Text (PDF)
Champredon, D and Earn, DJD (2016)

2015

Hempel, K and Earn, DJD (2015)
A Century of Transitions in New York City's Measles Dynamics
Journal of the Royal Society of London, Interface, 12(106):20150024.  Full Text (PDF)
Molina, C and Earn, DJD (2015)
Game theory of pre-emptive vaccination before bioterrorism or accidental release of smallpox
Journal of the Royal Society of London, Interface, 12(107):20141387.  Full Text (PDF)
Rosati, DP, Molina, C, and Earn, DJD (2015)

2014

Aruffo, C, Goldstone, R, and Earn, DJD (2014)
Ma, J, Dushoff, J, Bolker, BM, and Earn, DJD (2014)
Estimating initial epidemic growth rates
Bulletin of Mathematical Biology, 76(1):245-260.  Full Text (PDF)
McCallum, ES, Charney, RE, Marentette, JR, Young, JAM, Koops, MA, Earn, DJD, Bolker, BM, and Balshine, S (2014)
Earn, DJD, Andrews, PW, and Bolker, BM (2014)
Population-level effects of suppressing fever
Proceedings of the Royal Society of London, Series B, 281(1778):20132570.  Full Text (PDF)
Devault, AM, Golding, GB, Waglechner, N, Enk, JM, Kuch, M, Tien, JH, Shi, M, Fisman, DN, Dhody, AN, Forrest, S, Bos, KI, Earn, DJD, Holmes, EC, and Poinar, HN (2014)
Wagner, DM, Klunk, J, Harbeck, M, Devault, A, Waglechner, N, Sahl, JW, Enk, J, Birdsell, DN, Kuch, M, Lumibao, C, Poinar, D, Pearson, T, Fourment, M, Golding, B, Riehm, JM, Earn, DJD, Dewitte, S, Rouillard, JM, Grupe, G, Wiechmann, I, Bliska, JB, Keim, PS, Scholz, HC, Holmes, EC, and Poinar, H (2014)

2013

Gagnon, A, Miller, MS, Hallman, SA, Bourbeau, R, Herring, DA, Earn, DJD, and Madrenas, J (2013)
Krylova, O and Earn, DJD (2013)
He, D, Dushoff, J, Day, T, Ma, J, and Earn, DJD (2013)
Inferring the causes of the three waves of the 1918 influenza pandemic in England and Wales
Proceedings of the Royal Society of London, Series B, 280(1766):20131345.  Full Text (PDF)
He, D, Dushoff, J, Eftimie, R, and Earn, DJD (2013)
Patterns of spread of influenza A in Canada
Proceedings of the Royal Society of London, Series B, 280(1770):20131174.  Full Text (PDF)

2012

Kim, TH, Russell, M, Fonseca, K, Aoki, F, Horsman, G, Van Caeseele, P, Chokani, K, Voight, M, Babiuk, L, Moss, L, Webby, R, Earn, DJD, Singh, P, Howse, C, and Loeb, M (2012)
Davoudi, B, Miller, JC, Meza, R, Meyers, LA, Earn, DJD, and Pourbohloul, B (2012)
Earn, DJD, He, D, Loeb, MB, Fonseca, K, Lee, BE, and Dushoff, J (2012)
Holdsworth, AM, Kevlahan, NKR, and Earn, DJD (2012)
Multifractal signatures of infectious diseases
Journal of the Royal Society of London, Interface, 9(74):2167-2180.  Full Text (PDF)

2011

Bos, KI, Schuenemann, VJ, Golding, GB, Burbano, HA, Waglechner, N, Coombes, BK, McPhee, JB, DeWitte, SN, Meyer, M, Schmedes, S, Wood, J, Earn, DJD, Herring, DA, Bauer, P, Poinar, HN, and Krause, J (2011)
Ma, J, Dushoff, J, and Earn, DJD (2011)
Age-specific mortality risk from pandemic influenza
Journal of Theoretical Biology, 288:29-34.  Full Text (PDF)
McCluskey, C and Earn, DJD (2011)
Attractivity of coherent manifolds in metapopulation models
Journal of Mathematical Biology, 62(4):509-541.  Full Text (PDF)
Tuite, AR, Tien, JH, Eisenberg, M, Earn, DJD, Ma, J, and Fisman, DN (2011)
Tien, JH, Poinar, HN, Fisman, DN, and Earn, DJD (2011)
Herald waves of cholera in nineteenth century London
Journal of the Royal Society of London, Interface, 8(58):756-760.  Full Text (PDF)
Eftimie, R, Bramson, JL, and Earn, DJD (2011)
He, D, Dushoff, J, Day, T, Ma, J, and Earn, DJD (2011)
Eftimie, R, Dushoff, J, Bridle, BW, Bramson, JL, and Earn, DJD (2011)
Hooker, G, Ellner, SP, De Vargas Roditi, L, and Earn, DJD (2011)
Schuenemann, VJ, Bos, K, DeWitte, S, Schmedes, S, Jamieson, J, Mittnik, A, Forrest, S, Coombes, BK, Wood, JW, Earn, DJD, White, W, Krause, J, and Poinar, HN (2011)
Targeted enrichment of ancient pathogens yielding the pPCP1 plasmid of Yersinia pestis from victims of the Black Death
PNAS – Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences of the U.S.A., 108(38):E746-E752.  Full Text (PDF)

2010

Young, JAM, Marentette, JR, Gross, C, McDonald, J, Verma, A, Marsh-Rollo, S, MacDonald, PDM, Earn, DJD, and Balshine, S (2010)
Loeb, M, Russell, ML, Moss, L, Fonseca, K, Fox, J, Earn, DJD, Aoki, F, Horsman, G, Van Caeseele, P, Chokani, K, Vooght, M, Babiuk, L, Webby, R, and Walter, SD (2010)
Loeb, M, Russell, ML, and Earn, DJD (2010)
Influenza vaccination of children and infection rates in the community – Reply
JAMA – Journal of the American Medical Association, 303(23):2355-2356.  Full Text (PDF)
Eftimie, R, Bramson, JL, and Earn, DJD (2010)
Tien, JH and Earn, DJD (2010)
Loeb, M, Earn, DJD, Smieja, M, and Webby, R (2010)
Wagner, BG and Earn, DJD (2010)
Population dynamics of live-attenuated virus vaccines
Theoretical Population Biology, 77(2):79-94.  Full Text (PDF)
Loeb, M, Smieja, M, and Earn, DJD (2010)
Surgical Mask versus N95 Respirators for Preventing Influenza – Reply
JAMA – Journal of the American Medical Association, 303:938-939.  Full Text (PDF)

2009

Pourbohloul, B, Ahued, A, Davoudi, B, Meza, B, Meyers, LA, Skowronski, DM, Villasenor, I, Galvan, F, Cravioto, P, Earn, DJD, Dushoff, J, Fisman, DF, Edmunds, WJ, Hupert, N, Scarpino, SV, Trujillo, J, Lutzow, M, Morales, J, Contreras, A, Chavez, C, Patrick, DM, and Brunham, RC (2009)
Earn, DJD (2009) In: Lewis, M. A. and Chaplain, M. A. J. and Keener, J. P. and Maini, P. K. (Eds.), IAS/Park City Mathematics Series: Mathematical Biology (pp.151-186). American Mathematical Society. Full Text (PDF)
Goldstein, E, Dushoff, J, Ma, J, Plotkin, J, Earn, DJD, and Lipsitch, M (2009)
Reconstructing influenza incidence by deconvolution of daily mortality time series
PNAS – Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences of the U.S.A., 106(51):21825-21829.  Full Text (PDF)
Loeb, MB, Dafoe, N, Mahoney, J, John, M, Sarabia, A, Glavin, V, Webby, R, Smieja, M, Earn, DJD, Chong, S, Webb, A, and Walter, S (2009)

2008

Earn, DJD (2008) In: Brauer, F. and van den Driessche, P. and Wu, J. (Eds.), Lecture Notes in Mathematics: Mathematical Epidemiology (pp.3-17). Springer. Full Text (PDF)
Wagner, BG and Earn, DJD (2008)

2007

Earn, DJD (2007)
He, D and Earn, DJD (2007)
Dushoff, J, Plotkin, JB, Viboud, C, Simonsen, L, Miller, M, Loeb, M, and Earn, DJD (2007)

2006

Ma, J and Earn, DJD (2006)
Earn, DJD and Levin, SA (2006)
Global asymptotic coherence in discrete dynamical systems
PNAS – Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences of the U.S.A., 103(11):3968-3971.  Full Text (PDF)
Dushoff, J, Plotkin, JB, Viboud, C, Earn, DJD, and Simonsen, L (2006)

2005

Wu, Y, Xu, J, He, D, and Earn, DJD (2005)

2004

Dushoff, J, Plotkin, JB, Levin, SA, and Earn, DJD (2004)
Dynamical resonance can account for seasonality of influenza epidemics
PNAS – Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences of the U.S.A., 101(48):16915-16916.  Full Text (PDF)
Earn, DJD (2004)
Bauch, CT and Earn, DJD (2004)
Vaccination and the theory of games
PNAS – Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences of the U.S.A., 101(36):13391-13394.  Full Text (PDF)

2003

Bauch, CT, Galvani, AP, and Earn, DJD (2003)
Group interest versus self-interest in smallpox vaccination policy
PNAS – Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences of the U.S.A., 100(18):10564-10567.  Full Text (PDF)
Bauch, CT and Earn, DJD (2003) In: Ruan, S. and Wolkowicz, G. and Wu, J. (Eds.), Fields Institute Communications: Dynamical Systems and Their Applications in Biology (pp.33-44). Toronto: American Mathematical Society. Full Text (PDF)
Bauch, CT and Earn, DJD (2003)
Transients and attractors in epidemics
Proceedings of the Royal Society of London, Series B, 270(1524):1573-1578.  Full Text (PDF)

2002

Earn, DJD, Dushoff, J, and Levin, SA (2002)
Ecology and evolution of the flu
Trends in Ecology and Evolution, 17(7):334-340.  Full Text (PDF)

2000

Earn, DJD, Rohani, P, Bolker, BM, and Grenfell, BT (2000)
Earn, DJD, Levin, SA, and Rohani, P (2000)
Coherence and conservation
Science, 290(5495):1360-1364.  Full Text (PDF)
Rohani, P, Earn, DJD, and Grenfell, BT (2000)
Rohani, P, Earn, DJD, and Grenfell, BT (2000)

1999

Earn, DJD and Rohani, P (1999)
Complex dynamics in ecology
Trends in Ecology and Evolution, 14(2):43-44.  Full Text (PDF)
Johnstone, RA and Earn, DJD (1999)
Rohani, P, Earn, DJD, and Grenfell, BT (1999)
Summers, K and Earn, DJD (1999)
The cost of polygyny and the evolution of female care in poison frogs
Biological Journal of the Linnean Society, 66(4):515-538.  Full Text (PDF)

1998

Balshine-Earn, S and Earn, DJD (1998)
On the evolutionary pathway of parental care in mouth-brooding cichlid fishes
Proceedings of the Royal Society of London, Series B, 265(1411):2217-2222.  Full Text (PDF)
Earn, DJD, Rohani, P, and Grenfell, BT (1998)
Persistence, chaos and synchrony in ecology and epidemiology
Proceedings of the Royal Society of London, Series B, 265(1390):7-10.  Full Text (PDF)
Rohani, P, Earn, DJD, Finkenstadt, B, and Grenfell, BT (1998)
Population dynamic interference among childhood diseases
Proceedings of the Royal Society of London, Series B, 265(1410):2033-2041.  Full Text (PDF)

1997

Earn, DJD and Johnstone, RA (1997)
A systematic error in tests of ideal free theory
Proceedings of the Royal Society of London, Series B, 264(1388):1671-1675.  Full Text (PDF)
Balshine-Earn, S and Earn, DJD (1997)
An evolutionary model of parental care in St. Peter's fish
Journal of Theoretical Biology, 184(4):423-431.  Full Text (PDF)
Rohani, P and Earn, DJD (1997)
Chaos in a cup of flour
Trends in Ecology and Evolution, 12(5):171-171.  Full Text (PDF)
Earn, DJD and Balshine-Earn, S (1997)

1996

Earn, DJD and Lichtenberg, AJ (1996)
Arnold diffusion in symplectic lattice maps
Fields Institute Communications, 10:87-91.  Full Text (PDF)
Earn, DJD and Lynden-Bell, D (1996)
Cooperation of orbital streams in disc galaxies
Monthly Notices of the Royal Astronomical Society, 278(2):395-405.  Full Text (PDF)
Earn, DJD (1996)
Earn, DJD (1996) In: Blitz, L. and Teuben, P. (Eds.), Unsolved Problems of the Milky Way (pp.509-510). Dordrect: Kluwer.  Full Text (PDF)
Robijn, FHA and Earn, DJD (1996)
Potential-density basis sets in axisymmetric coordinates
Monthly Notices of the Royal Astronomical Society, 282(4):1129-1142.  Full Text (PDF)
Earn, DJD (1996) In: Lahav, O. and Terlevich, E. and Terlevich, R.J. (Eds.), 36th Herstmonceux Conference (pp.249-260). Cambridge: Cambridge University Press.  Full Text (PDF)

1995

Earn, DJD and Sellwood, JA (1995)

1994

Earn, DJD (1994) In: Gurzadyan, V.G. and Pfenniger, D. (Eds.), Lecture Notes in Physics (pp.122-130). Heidelberg: Springer-Verlag. Full Text (PDF)

1992

1991

Earn, DJD and Tremaine, S (1991) In: Sundelius, B. (Eds.), Dynamics of Disk Galaxies (pp.137-141). Göteborg: Göteborg University. Full Text (PDF)