Publications

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2022

Levine, Z and Earn, DJD (2022)

Face Masking and COVID-19: Potential effects of variolation on transmission dynamics
Journal of the Royal Society of London, Interface, 19:20210781. Full Text (PDF)

Shi, C, So, MC, Stelmach, S, Earn, A, Earn, DJD, and Dushoff, J (2022)

From science to politics: COVID-19 information fatigue on YouTube
BMC Public Health, 22:816. Full Text (PDF)

Gharouni, A, Abdelmalek, FM, Earn, DJD, Dushoff, J, and Bolker, BM (2022)

Testing and Isolation Efficacy: Insights from a Simple Epidemic Model
Bulletin of Mathematical Biology, 84:66. Full Text (PDF)

Colijn, C, Earn, DJD, Dushoff, J, Ogden, N, Li, M, Knox, N, Van Domselaar, G, Franklin, K, Jolly, G, and Otto, SP (2022)

The need for linked genomic surveillance of SARS-CoV-2
Canada Communicable Disease Report, 48(4):131-139. Full Text (PDF)

2021

Loeb, M, Russell, ML, Kelly-Stradiotto, C, Fuller, N, Fonseca, K, Earn, DJD, Chokani, K, Babiuk, L, Neupane, B, Singh, P, and Pullenayegum, E (2021)

Adjuvanted Trivalent Influenza Vaccine versus Quadrivalent Inactivated Influenza Vaccine in Hutterite Children: A Randomized Clinical Trial
Vaccine, 39:6843-6851. Full Text (PDF)

Papst, I, Li, M, Champredon, D, Bolker, BM, Dushoff, J, and Earn, DJD (2021)

Age-dependence of healthcare interventions for COVID-19 in Ontario, Canada
BMC Public Health, 21:706. Full Text (PDF)

Park, SW, Sun, K, Champredon, D, Li, M, Bolker, BM, Earn, DJD, Weitz, JS, Grenfell, BT, and Dushoff, J (2021)

Forward-looking serial intervals correctly link epidemic growth to reproduction numbers
PNAS – Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences of the U.S.A., 118(2):e2011548118. Full Text (PDF)

Rosati, DP, Woolhouse, MH, Bolker, BM, and Earn, DJD (2021)

Modelling song popularity as a contagious process
Proceedings of the Royal Society of London, Series A, 477:20210457. Full Text (PDF)

Molina, C and Earn, DJD (2021)

On inferring evolutionary stability in finite populations using infinite population models
Journal of Mathematical Biology, 83:21. Full Text (PDF)

Earn, DJD (2021)

Public health decisions bring risk to Whistler (Op-Ed)
The Vancouver Sun.

Otto, SP, Day, T, Arino, J, Colijn, C, Dushoff, J, Li, M, Mechai, S, Domselaar, GV, Wu, J, Earn, DJD, and Ogden, NH (2021)

The origins and potential future of SARS-CoV-2 variants of concern in the evolving COVID-19 pandemic
Current Biology, 31:R918–R929. Full Text (PDF)

Tao, Y, Hite, J, Lafferty, K, Earn, DJD, and Bharti, N (2021)

Transient disease dynamics across ecological scales
Theoretical Ecology, 14:625-640. Full Text (PDF)

Dushoff, J, Colijn, C, Earn, DJD, and Bolker, BM (2021)

Transmission dynamics are crucial to COVID-19 vaccination policy
PNAS – Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences of the U.S.A., 118(29):e2105878118. Full Text (PDF)

2020

Earn, DJD, Ma, J, Poinar, H, Dushoff, J, and Bolker, BM (2020)

Acceleration of plague outbreaks in the second pandemic
PNAS – Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences of the U.S.A., 117(44):27703–27711. Full Text (PDF)

Barton, CM, Alberti, M, Ames, D, Atkinson, J, Bales, J, Burke, E, Chen, M, Diallo, SY, Earn, DJD, Fath, B, Feng, Z, Gibbons, C, Hammond, R, Heffernan, J, Houser, H, Hovmand, PS, Kopainsky, B, Mabry, PL, Mair, C, Meier, P, Niles, R, Nosek, B, Osgood, N, Pierce, S, Polhill, JG, Prosser, L, Robinson, E, Rosenzweig, C, Sankaran, S, Stange, K, and Tucker, G (2020)

Call for transparency of COVID-19 models
Science, 368(6490):482-483. Full Text (PDF)

Hempel, K and Earn, DJD (2020)

Estimating epidemic coupling between populations from the time to invasion
Journal of the Royal Society of London, Interface, 17:20200523. Full Text (PDF)

Jagan, M, deJonge, MS, Krylova, O, and Earn, DJD (2020)

Fast estimation of time-varying infectious disease transmission rates
PLoS Computational Biology, 16(9):e1008124. Full Text (PDF)

Krylova, O and Earn, DJD (2020)

Patterns of smallpox mortality in London, England, over three centuries
PLoS Biology, 18(12):e3000506. Full Text (PDF)

Park, SW, Bolker, BM, Champredon, D, Earn, DJD, Li, M, Weitz, JS, Grenfell, BT, and Dushoff, J (2020)

Reconciling early-outbreak estimates of the basic reproductive number and its uncertainty: framework and applications to the novel coronavirus (SARS-CoV-2) outbreak
Journal of the Royal Society of London, Interface, 17:20200144. Full Text (PDF)

2019

Acosta, E, Hallman, SA, Ouellette, N, Dillon, L, Bourbeau, R, Herring, DA, Inwood, K, Earn, DJD, Madrenas, J, Miller, MS, and Gagnon, A (2019)

Determinants of Influenza Mortality Trends: Age-Period-Cohort analysis of influenza mortality in the United States, 1959-2016
Demography, 56(5):1723-1746. Full Text (PDF)

Papst, I and Earn, DJD (2019)

Invariant predictions of epidemic patterns from radically different forms of seasonal forcing
Journal of the Royal Society of London, Interface, 16:20190202. Full Text (PDF)

Li, M, Bolker, BM, Dushoff, J, Ma, J, and Earn, DJD (2019)

Patterns of seasonal and pandemic influenza-associated health care and mortality in Ontario, Canada
BMC Public Health, 19(1):1237. Full Text (PDF)

2018

Champredon, D, Dushoff, J, and Earn, DJD (2018)

Equivalence of the Erlang SEIR epidemic model and the renewal equation
SIAM Journal on Applied Mathematics, 78(6):3258-3278. Full Text (PDF)

Earn, DJD (2018)

How many people died from influenza in 1918?

In: Lorinc, J. (Eds.), Defining Moments Canada (https://definingmomentscanada.ca/) . Full Text (PDF)

Park, SW, Dushoff, J, Earn, DJD, Poinar, H, and Bolker, BM (2018)

Human ectoparasite transmission of the plague during the Second Pandemic is only weakly supported by proposed mathematical models
PNAS – Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences of the U.S.A., 115(34):E7892–E7893. Full Text (PDF)

Molina, C and Earn, DJD (2018)

On selection in finite populations
Journal of Mathematical Biology, 76(3):645-678. Full Text (PDF)

Gagnon, A, Acosta, E, Hallman, S, Bourbeau, RR, Dillon, LY, Ouellette, N, Earn, DJD, Herring, DA, Inwood, K, Madrenas, J, and Miller, MS (2018)

Pandemic paradox: Early life H2N2 pandemic influenza infection enhanced susceptibility to death during the 2009 H1N1 pandemic
mBio, 9(1):e02091-17. Full Text (PDF)

2017

Molina, C and Earn, DJD (2017)

Evolutionary stability in continuous nonlinear public goods games
Journal of Mathematical Biology, 74(1-2):499-529. Full Text (PDF)

Wang, B, Russell, ML, Fonseca, K, Earn, DJD, Horsman, G, Van Caeseele, P, Chokani, K, Vooght, M, Babiuk, L, Walter, SD, and Loeb, M (2017)

Predictors of Influenza Molecular Viral Shedding in Hutterite Communities
Influenza and Other Respiratory Viruses, 11(3):254-262. Full Text (PDF)

2016

Eftimie, R, Macnamara, CK, Dushoff, J, Bramson, JL, and Earn, DJD (2016)

Bifurcations and chaotic dynamics in a tumour-immune-virus system
Mathematical Modelling of Natural Phenomena, 11(5):65-85. Full Text (PDF)

Wang, B, Russell, ML, Fonseca, K, Earn, DJD, Aoki, F, Horsman, G, Van Caeseele, P, Chokani, K, Vooght, M, Babiuk, L, Walter, SD, and Loeb, M (2016)

Effect of Influenza Vaccination of Children on Infection Rate in Hutterite Communities: Follow-up Study of a Randomized Trial
PLoS One, 11(12):e0167281. Full Text (PDF)

Loeb, M, Russell, ML, Manning, V, Fonseca, K, Earn, DJD, Horsman, GH, Chokani, K, Vooght, M, Babiuk, L, Schwartz, L, Neupane, B, Singh, P, Walter, SD, and Pullenayegum, E (2016)

Live Attenuated versus Inactivated Influenza Vaccine in Hutterite Children: A Cluster Randomized Blinded Trial
Annals of Internal Medicine, 165(9):617-624. Full Text (PDF)

Fitzpatrick, JL, Earn, DJD, Bucking, C, Craig, PM, Nadella, S, Wood, CM, and Balshine, S (2016)

Postcopulatory consequences of female mate choice in a fish with alternative reproductive tactics
Behavioral Ecology, 27(1):312-320. Full Text (PDF)

He, D and Earn, DJD (2016)

The cohort effect in childhood disease dynamics
Journal of the Royal Society of London, Interface, 13:20160156. Full Text (PDF)

Champredon, D and Earn, DJD (2016)

Understanding apparently non-exponential outbreaks. Comment on ``Mathematical models to characterize early epidemic growth: A review'' by Gerardo Chowell et al.
Physics of Life Reviews, 18:105-108. Full Text (PDF)

2015

Hempel, K and Earn, DJD (2015)

A Century of Transitions in New York City's Measles Dynamics
Journal of the Royal Society of London, Interface, 12(106):20150024. Full Text (PDF)

Molina, C and Earn, DJD (2015)

Game theory of pre-emptive vaccination before bioterrorism or accidental release of smallpox
Journal of the Royal Society of London, Interface, 12(107):20141387. Full Text (PDF)

Rosati, DP, Molina, C, and Earn, DJD (2015)

The importance of accurately modelling human interactions
Physics of Life Reviews, 15:51-52. Full Text (PDF)

2014

Aruffo, C, Goldstone, R, and Earn, DJD (2014)

Absolute perception of musical interval width
Music Perception, 32(2):186–200. Full Text (PDF)

Ma, J, Dushoff, J, Bolker, BM, and Earn, DJD (2014)

Estimating initial epidemic growth rates
Bulletin of Mathematical Biology, 76(1):245-260. Full Text (PDF)

McCallum, ES, Charney, RE, Marentette, JR, Young, JAM, Koops, MA, Earn, DJD, Bolker, BM, and Balshine, S (2014)

Persistence of an invasive fish ( Neogobius melanostomus) in a contaminated ecosystem
Biological Invasions, 16(11):2449–2461. Full Text (PDF)

Earn, DJD, Andrews, PW, and Bolker, BM (2014)

Population-level effects of suppressing fever
Proceedings of the Royal Society of London, Series B, 281(1778):20132570. Full Text (PDF)

Devault, AM, Golding, GB, Waglechner, N, Enk, JM, Kuch, M, Tien, JH, Shi, M, Fisman, DN, Dhody, AN, Forrest, S, Bos, KI, Earn, DJD, Holmes, EC, and Poinar, HN (2014)

Second-pandemic strain of Vibrio cholerae from the Philadelphia cholera outbreak of 1849
The New England Journal of Medicine, 370(4):334-340. Full Text (PDF)

Wagner, DM, Klunk, J, Harbeck, M, Devault, A, Waglechner, N, Sahl, JW, Enk, J, Birdsell, DN, Kuch, M, Lumibao, C, Poinar, D, Pearson, T, Fourment, M, Golding, B, Riehm, JM, Earn, DJD, Dewitte, S, Rouillard, JM, Grupe, G, Wiechmann, I, Bliska, JB, Keim, PS, Scholz, HC, Holmes, EC, and Poinar, H (2014)

Yersinia pestis and the Plague of Justinian 541-543 AD: a genomic analysis
The Lancet Infectious Diseases, 14:319-326. Full Text (PDF)

2013

Gagnon, A, Miller, MS, Hallman, SA, Bourbeau, R, Herring, DA, Earn, DJD, and Madrenas, J (2013)

Age-specific mortality during the 1918 influenza pandemic: unravelling the mystery of high young adult mortality
PLoS One, 8(8):e69586. Full Text (PDF)

Krylova, O and Earn, DJD (2013)

Effects of the infectious period distribution on predicted transitions in childhood disease dynamics
Journal of the Royal Society of London, Interface, 10:20130098. Full Text (PDF)

He, D, Dushoff, J, Day, T, Ma, JL, and Earn, DJD (2013)

Inferring the causes of the three waves of the 1918 influenza pandemic in England and Wales
Proceedings of the Royal Society of London, Series B, 280(1766):20131345. Full Text (PDF)

He, D, Dushoff, J, Eftimie, R, and Earn, DJD (2013)

Patterns of spread of influenza A in Canada
Proceedings of the Royal Society of London, Series B, 280(1770):20131174. Full Text (PDF)

2012

Kim, TH, Russell, M, Fonseca, K, Aoki, F, Horsman, G, Van Caeseele, P, Chokani, K, Voight, M, Babiuk, L, Moss, L, Webby, R, Earn, DJD, Singh, P, Howse, C, and Loeb, M (2012)

Characteristics of respiratory viral infections during influenza season in Canadian Hutterite Communities
Influenza and Other Respiratory Viruses, 7:1088-1092. Full Text (PDF)

Davoudi, B, Miller, JC, Meza, R, Meyers, LA, Earn, DJD, and Pourbohloul, B (2012)

Early Real-Time Estimation of the Basic Reproduction Number of Emerging Infectious Diseases
Physical Review X, 2(3):031005. Full Text (PDF)

Earn, DJD, He, D, Loeb, MB, Fonseca, K, Lee, BE, and Dushoff, J (2012)

Effects of school closure on incidence of pandemic influenza in Alberta, Canada
Annals of Internal Medicine, 156(3):173-181. Full Text (PDF)

Holdsworth, AM, Kevlahan, NKR, and Earn, DJD (2012)

Multifractal signatures of infectious diseases
Journal of the Royal Society of London, Interface, 9(74):2167-2180. Full Text (PDF)

2011

Bos, KI, Schuenemann, VJ, Golding, GB, Burbano, HA, Waglechner, N, Coombes, BK, McPhee, JB, DeWitte, SN, Meyer, M, Schmedes, S, Wood, J, Earn, DJD, Herring, DA, Bauer, P, Poinar, HN, and Krause, J (2011)

A draft genome of Yersinia pestis from victims of the Black Death
Nature, 478(7370):506-510. Full Text (PDF)

Ma, JL, Dushoff, J, and Earn, DJD (2011)

Age-specific mortality risk from pandemic influenza
Journal of Theoretical Biology, 288:29-34. Full Text (PDF)

McCluskey, C and Earn, DJD (2011)

Attractivity of coherent manifolds in metapopulation models
Journal of Mathematical Biology, 62(4):509-541. Full Text (PDF)

Tuite, AR, Tien, JH, Eisenberg, M, Earn, DJD, Ma, J, and Fisman, DN (2011)

Cholera epidemic in Haiti, 2010: Using a transmission model to explain spatial spread of disease and identify optimal control interventions
Annals of Internal Medicine, 154(9):593-601. Full Text (PDF)

Tien, JH, Poinar, HN, Fisman, DN, and Earn, DJD (2011)

Herald waves of cholera in nineteenth century London
Journal of the Royal Society of London, Interface, 8(58):756-760. Full Text (PDF)

Eftimie, R, Bramson, JL, and Earn, DJD (2011)

Interactions between the immune system and cancer: a brief review of non-spatial mathematical models
Bulletin of Mathematical Biology, 73(1):2-32. Full Text (PDF)

He, D, Dushoff, J, Day, T, Ma, JL, and Earn, DJD (2011)

Mechanistic modelling of the three waves of the 1918 influenza pandemic
Theoretical Ecology, 4(2):283-288. Full Text (PDF)

Eftimie, R, Dushoff, J, Bridle, BW, Bramson, JL, and Earn, DJD (2011)

Multi-stability and multi-instability phenomena in a mathematical model of tumor-immune-virus interactions
Bulletin of Mathematical Biology, 73(12):2932-2961. Full Text (PDF)

Hooker, G, Ellner, SP, De Vargas Roditi, L, and Earn, DJD (2011)

Parameterizing state-space models for infectious disease dynamics by generalized profiling: measles in Ontario
Journal of the Royal Society of London, Interface, 8(60):961-974. Full Text (PDF)

Schuenemann, VJ, Bos, K, DeWitte, S, Schmedes, S, Jamieson, J, Mittnik, A, Forrest, S, Coombes, BK, Wood, JW, Earn, DJD, White, W, Krause, J, and Poinar, HN (2011)

Targeted enrichment of ancient pathogens yielding the pPCP1 plasmid of Yersinia pestis from victims of the Black Death
PNAS – Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences of the U.S.A., 108(38):E746-E752. Full Text (PDF)

2010

Young, JAM, Marentette, JR, Gross, C, McDonald, J, Verma, A, Marsh-Rollo, S, MacDonald, PDM, Earn, DJD, and Balshine, S (2010)

Demography and substrate affinity of the Round Goby ( Neogobius melanostomus) in Hamilton Harbour
Journal of Great Lakes Research, 36(1):115-122. Full Text (PDF)

Loeb, M, Russell, ML, Moss, L, Fonseca, K, Fox, J, Earn, DJD, Aoki, F, Horsman, G, Van Caeseele, P, Chokani, K, Vooght, M, Babiuk, L, Webby, R, and Walter, SD (2010)

Effect of influenza vaccination of children on infection rates in Hutterite communities: a randomized trial
JAMA – Journal of the American Medical Association, 303(10):943-950. Full Text (PDF)

Loeb, M, Russell, ML, and Earn, DJD (2010)

Influenza vaccination of children and infection rates in the community – Reply
JAMA – Journal of the American Medical Association, 303(23):2355-2356. Full Text (PDF)

Eftimie, R, Bramson, JL, and Earn, DJD (2010)

Modeling anti-tumor Th1 and Th2 immunity in the rejection of melanoma
Theoretical Population Biology, 265(3):467-480. Full Text (PDF)

Tien, JH and Earn, DJD (2010)

Multiple transmission pathways and disease dynamics in a waterborne pathogen model
Bulletin of Mathematical Biology, 72(6):1506-1533. Full Text (PDF)

Loeb, M, Earn, DJD, Smieja, M, and Webby, R (2010)

Pandemic (H1N1) risk for nurses after trivalent vaccination
Emerging Infectious Diseases, 16(4):719-720. Full Text (PDF)

Wagner, BG and Earn, DJD (2010)

Population dynamics of live-attenuated virus vaccines
Theoretical Population Biology, 77(2):79-94. Full Text (PDF)

Loeb, M, Smieja, M, and Earn, DJD (2010)

Surgical Mask versus N95 Respirators for Preventing Influenza – Reply
JAMA – Journal of the American Medical Association, 303:938-939. Full Text (PDF)

2009

Pourbohloul, B, Ahued, A, Davoudi, B, Meza, B, Meyers, LA, Skowronski, DM, Villasenor, I, Galvan, F, Cravioto, P, Earn, DJD, Dushoff, J, Fisman, DF, Edmunds, WJ, Hupert, N, Scarpino, SV, Trujillo, J, Lutzow, M, Morales, J, Contreras, A, Chavez, C, Patrick, DM, and Brunham, RC (2009)

Initial human transmission dynamics of a novel swine-origin influenza A (H1N1) virus (S-OIV) in North America, 2009
Influenza and Other Respiratory Viruses, 3:215-222. Full Text (PDF)

Earn, DJD (2009)

Mathematical epidemiology of infectious diseases

In: Lewis, M. A. and Chaplain, M. A. J. and Keener, J. P. and Maini, P. K. (Eds.), IAS/Park City Mathematics Series: Mathematical Biology (pp.151-186). American Mathematical Society. Full Text (PDF)

Goldstein, E, Dushoff, J, Ma, J, Plotkin, J, Earn, DJD, and Lipsitch, M (2009)

Reconstructing influenza incidence by deconvolution of daily mortality time series
PNAS – Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences of the U.S.A., 106(51):21825-21829. Full Text (PDF)

Loeb, MB, Dafoe, N, Mahoney, J, John, M, Sarabia, A, Glavin, V, Webby, R, Smieja, M, Earn, DJD, Chong, S, Webb, A, and Walter, S (2009)

Surgical mask versus N95 respirator for preventing influenza among healthcare workers: a randomized trial
JAMA – Journal of the American Medical Association, 302(17):1865-1871. Full Text (PDF)

2008

Earn, DJD (2008)

A Light Introduction to Modelling Recurrent Epidemics

In: Brauer, F. and van den Driessche, P. and Wu, J. (Eds.), Lecture Notes in Mathematics: Mathematical Epidemiology (pp.3-17). Springer. Full Text (PDF)

Wagner, BG and Earn, DJD (2008)

Circulating vaccine derived polio viruses and their impact on global polio eradication
Bulletin of Mathematical Biology, 70:253-280. Full Text (PDF)

2007

Earn, DJD (2007)

Comment on `Parameter estimation for differential equations: a generalized smoothing approach' by James O. Ramsay, Giles Hooker, David Campbell and Jiguo Cao
Journal of the Royal Statistical Society, Series B, 69:779-780. Full Text (PDF)

He, D and Earn, DJD (2007)

Epidemiological effects of seasonal oscillations in birth rates
Theoretical Population Biology, 72:274-291. Full Text (PDF)

Dushoff, J, Plotkin, JB, Viboud, C, Simonsen, L, Miller, M, Loeb, M, and Earn, DJD (2007)

Vaccinating to Protect a Vulnerable Subpopulation
PLoS Medicine, 4(5):921-927. Full Text (PDF)

2006

Ma, J and Earn, DJD (2006)

Generality of the final size formula for an epidemic of a newly invading infectious disease
Bulletin of Mathematical Biology, 68(3):679-702. Full Text (PDF)

Earn, DJD and Levin, SA (2006)

Global asymptotic coherence in discrete dynamical systems
PNAS – Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences of the U.S.A., 103(11):3968-3971. Full Text (PDF)

Dushoff, J, Plotkin, JB, Viboud, C, Earn, DJD, and Simonsen, L (2006)

Mortality due to influenza in the United States - an annualized regression approach using multiple-cause mortality data
American Journal of Epidemiology, 163(2):181-187. Full Text (PDF)

2005

Wu, Y, Xu, J, He, D, and Earn, DJD (2005)

Generalized synchronization induced by noise and parameter mismatching in Hindmarsh–Rose neurons
Chaos, Solitons and Fractals, 23(5):1605-1611. Full Text (PDF)

2004

Dushoff, J, Plotkin, JB, Levin, SA, and Earn, DJD (2004)

Dynamical resonance can account for seasonality of influenza epidemics
PNAS – Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences of the U.S.A., 101(48):16915-16916. Full Text (PDF)

Earn, DJD (2004)

Mathematical modelling of recurrent epidemics
Pi in the Sky, 8:14-17. Full Text (PDF)

Bauch, CT and Earn, DJD (2004)

Vaccination and the theory of games
PNAS – Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences of the U.S.A., 101(36):13391-13394. Full Text (PDF)

2003

Bauch, CT, Galvani, AP, and Earn, DJD (2003)

Group interest versus self-interest in smallpox vaccination policy
PNAS – Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences of the U.S.A., 100(18):10564-10567. Full Text (PDF)

Bauch, CT and Earn, DJD (2003)

Interepidemic intervals in forced and unforced SEIR models

In: Ruan, S. and Wolkowicz, G. and Wu, J. (Eds.), Fields Institute Communications: Dynamical Systems and Their Applications in Biology (pp.33-44). Toronto: American Mathematical Society. Full Text (PDF)

Bauch, CT and Earn, DJD (2003)

Transients and attractors in epidemics
Proceedings of the Royal Society of London, Series B, 270(1524):1573-1578. Full Text (PDF)

2002

Earn, DJD, Dushoff, J, and Levin, SA (2002)

Ecology and evolution of the flu
Trends in Ecology and Evolution, 17(7):334-340. Full Text (PDF)

2000

Earn, DJD, Rohani, P, Bolker, BM, and Grenfell, BT (2000)

A simple model for complex dynamical transitions in epidemics
Science, 287(5453):667-670. Full Text (PDF)

Earn, DJD, Levin, SA, and Rohani, P (2000)

Coherence and conservation
Science, 290(5495):1360-1364. Full Text (PDF)

Rohani, P, Earn, DJD, and Grenfell, BT (2000)

Impact of immunisation on pertussis transmission in England and Wales
The Lancet, 355(9200):285-286. Full Text (PDF)

Rohani, P, Earn, DJD, and Grenfell, BT (2000)

Pertussis transmission in England and Wales – Reply
The Lancet, 355(9214):1553-1554. Full Text (PDF)

1999

Earn, DJD and Rohani, P (1999)

Complex dynamics in ecology
Trends in Ecology and Evolution, 14(2):43-44. Full Text (PDF)

Johnstone, RA and Earn, DJD (1999)

Imperfect female choice and male mating skew on leks of different sizes
Behavioral Ecology and Sociobiology, 45(3-4):277-281. Full Text (PDF)

Rohani, P, Earn, DJD, and Grenfell, BT (1999)

Opposite patterns of synchrony in sympatric disease metapopulations
Science, 286(5441):968-971. Full Text (PDF)

Summers, K and Earn, DJD (1999)

The cost of polygyny and the evolution of female care in poison frogs
Biological Journal of the Linnean Society, 66(4):515-538. Full Text (PDF)

1998

Balshine-Earn, S and Earn, DJD (1998)

On the evolutionary pathway of parental care in mouth-brooding cichlid fishes
Proceedings of the Royal Society of London, Series B, 265(1411):2217-2222. Full Text (PDF)

Earn, DJD, Rohani, P, and Grenfell, BT (1998)

Persistence, chaos and synchrony in ecology and epidemiology
Proceedings of the Royal Society of London, Series B, 265(1390):7-10. Full Text (PDF)

Rohani, P, Earn, DJD, Finkenstadt, B, and Grenfell, BT (1998)

Population dynamic interference among childhood diseases
Proceedings of the Royal Society of London, Series B, 265(1410):2033-2041. Full Text (PDF)

1997

Earn, DJD and Johnstone, RA (1997)

A systematic error in tests of ideal free theory
Proceedings of the Royal Society of London, Series B, 264(1388):1671-1675. Full Text (PDF)

Balshine-Earn, S and Earn, DJD (1997)

An evolutionary model of parental care in St. Peter's fish
Journal of Theoretical Biology, 184(4):423-431. Full Text (PDF)

Rohani, P and Earn, DJD (1997)

Chaos in a cup of flour
Trends in Ecology and Evolution, 12(5):171-171. Full Text (PDF)

Earn, DJD and Balshine-Earn, S (1997)

Games fish play: parental care in St. Peter's Fish
Advances in Ethology, 32:249. Full Text (PDF)

1996

Earn, DJD and Lichtenberg, AJ (1996)

Arnold diffusion in symplectic lattice maps
Fields Institute Communications, 10:87-91. Full Text (PDF)

Earn, DJD and Lynden-Bell, D (1996)

Cooperation of orbital streams in disc galaxies
Monthly Notices of the Royal Astronomical Society, 278(2):395-405. Full Text (PDF)

Earn, DJD (1996)

Potential-density basis sets for galactic disks
Astrophysical Journal, 465(1):91-95. Full Text (PDF)

Earn, DJD (1996)

Potential-density basis sets for three-dimensional disks

In: Blitz, L. and Teuben, P. (Eds.), Unsolved Problems of the Milky Way (pp.509-510). Dordrect: Kluwer. Full Text (PDF)

Robijn, FHA and Earn, DJD (1996)

Potential-density basis sets in axisymmetric coordinates
Monthly Notices of the Royal Astronomical Society, 282(4):1129-1142. Full Text (PDF)

Earn, DJD (1996)

The publications and citations of Donald Lynden-Bell

In: Lahav, O. and Terlevich, E. and Terlevich, R.J. (Eds.), 36th Herstmonceux Conference (pp.249-260). Cambridge: Cambridge University Press. Full Text (PDF)